Klitgaard Makes The Ivy Picks

This week's guest prognosticator is Robert Klitgaard, associate professor of Public Polley at the Kennedy School of Government and a special assistant to President Bok, author of an article entitled. "A Statistical Study of Professional Football Pointspreads."

He offers his picks warily. "My work has been on pro football," he noted, "and I have learned that in the college environment one has to watch out for overprediction."

He is 0-1 on college games this year, having given a half point too many to James Q. Wilson, Shattuck Professor of Government, on their Harvard-Columbia game. The loss entailed 12 additional repetitions on the Nautilus military press machine, supervised by "a Wilson with a weirdly wicked grin."

"As a result, though, I am slightly more able to shoulder the prospect of further losses," Klitgaard said.

The picks: Take Harvard, give 9 at home against Cornell, unless it rains.

Take Brown, give 3 at home against Penn (best bet).

Take Princeton, give 8 1/2 at home against Columbia.

Take Yale even at home against Boston University.

Dartmouth at William and Mary, no line so no pick.